It is time for the Toronto Blue Jays to sever ties with Anthony Santander. Over the past week, the 32-year-old outfielder has upended Toronto’s offseason by sharing a series of Islamophobic videos on Instagram Stories, then waiting until November 13 to post an apology. That controversy alone has created an untenable rift inside a franchise and city that pride themselves on inclusivity. Yet focusing exclusively on his social media misconduct obscures the deeper baseball reality: even before early November, the five-year, $92.5 million contract Santander signed in January 2025 had already drawn comparisons in local media to the worst contract in Toronto sports history.
Since putting pen to paper, Santander has appeared in just 54 of a possible 324 regular-season games—16.67% of the baseball he was signed to play. When he actually took the field in 2025, his offensive production cratered to a .565 OPS and -1.0 WAR (Baseball-Reference) before a back injury cut short his October after five postseason games and left shoulder labrum surgery erased his entire 2026 season. With Toronto coming off a last-place 79-83 finish and trying to retool aggressively around Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Dylan Cease, clinging to an injury-compromised designated hitter who is actively alienating the local fanbase is pure sunk-cost paralysis.
Moving Santander off the roster will not be painless or cheap. Guaranteed MLB contracts cannot simply be torn up at will, and Toronto remains responsible for $49.0 million in future nominal salary and buyout obligations through 2030 (plus $26.75 million in already-accrued 2025–2026 deferrals), alongside roughly $13.7 million to $14.3 million per year against the Competitive Balance Tax (CBT) through 2029. Weighing every exit mechanism available—just-cause discipline under MLB’s social media rules, a subsidized trade, unconditional release, a negotiated buyout, and the temptation to wait out 2027—leads to one realistic path forward: once any club or league conduct review concludes, Toronto must absorb the sunk cost, designate Santander for assignment, and release him.
Anthony Santander’s Blue Jays Struggles: Just 54 Games in Two Seasons
When Toronto handed Santander a five-year, $92.5 million deal in January 2025, the front office wasn’t paying for speed or defence—even pre-signing evaluations flagged his shaky outfield metrics and low on-base profile. The Blue Jays were buying durable, switch-hitting middle-of-the-order power after watching him belt 44 home runs and drive in 102 runs over 155 games for the Baltimore Orioles in 2024. That decision carried a steep upfront opportunity cost beyond cash: because Santander had rejected Baltimore’s $21.05 million qualifying offer, Toronto forfeited its second draft pick and $500,000 in 2026 international signing bonus allocation to sign him.
What the Blue Jays received across their 2025 World Series run, and subsequent 2026 collapse barely qualifies as a cameo, let alone an All-Star slugger’s workload.
| Metric | 2024 (BAL) | 2025 (TOR) | 2026 (TOR) | TOR Total (2025–26) |
| Regular-Season Games Played | 155 | 54 | 0 | 54 of 324 (16.67%) |
| Plate Appearances | 665 | 221 | 0 | 221 |
| Home Runs / RBI | 44 / 102 | 6 / 18 | 0 / 0 | 6 / 18 |
| Batting Line (AVG/OBP/SLG) | .235 / .308 / .506 | .175 / .271 / .294 | — | .175 / .271 / .294 |
| OPS / OPS+ | .814 / 131 | .565 / 56 | — | .565 / 56 |
| WAR (Baseball-Reference) | 2.7 | -1.0 | — | -1.0 |
| Postseason Games Played | 2 (BAL) | 5 (of 18 TOR games) | — | 5 of 18 (27.78%) |
Data compiled from Baseball-Reference, Baseball Savant, and MLB postseason logs.
Even counting Toronto’s 18 postseason games during the 2025 pennant run, Santander appeared in just 59 of 342 meaningful contests (17.25%) across two seasons. Measured against the 30.0 million in nominal base salaries assigned to 2025 and 2026 ($13.5 million plus $16.5 million), the Blue Jays incurred $555,556 per regular-season game, $135,747 per plate appearance, and $5,000,000 per home run. Include his $13.5 million signing bonus—bringing nominal earned compensation across those two seasons to $43.5 million—and the rate jumps to $805,556 per regular-season appearance and $7,250,000 per home run. Even on the ~$27.44 million in initial CBT payroll space assigned across 2025–2026 (based on the $13.72 million AAV initially reported upon signing), Toronto burned $508,148 per regular-season game for below-replacement production.
The bigger concern for 2027 isn’t merely the games missed; it is how severely Santander’s underlying profile deteriorated when he did play and how poorly his body has responded since. His 2025 batting line wasn’t a case of loud contact finding gloves. According to Baseball Savant and Baseball-Reference figures, his strikeout rate jumped from 19.4% in 2024 to 27.6% in 2025, his barrel rate sank to 4.5%, his average exit velocity sat at 89.6 mph, and his expected wOBA (.265) closely mirrored his actual wOBA (.255). While his walk rate actually climbed from 8.7% in 2024 to 11.3% (25 walks in 221 plate appearances) in 2025, his isolated power collapsed from .271 to .119—suggesting a hitter who could still recognize pitches but could no longer drive the baseball with authority, a concern underscored by a 41% hard-hit rate. Left shoulder inflammation forced him onto the injured list for 100 games from late May through late September 2025, and after scraping together three singles in 15 postseason at-bats, a back injury sidelined him for the final 11 games of Toronto’s ALCS and World Series runs.
Matters only worsened in 2026. Santander underwent left shoulder labrum surgery over the winter, originally projected to sideline him for five to six months. An attempted mid-July ramp-up was aborted when he felt discomfort in the repaired shoulder, and a brief September Triple-A rehab stint—during which he hit .235 with zero home runs in 17 at-bats and missed time with lower-back soreness—ended on September 25 when the club shut him down for the season. Although the Blue Jays removed him from the 60-day IL alongside other injured players on November 2 and projections list an estimated return around February 2027, banking on a 32-year-old switch-hitter who already had to be sheltered at DH in 30 of his 54 appearances in 2025 to suddenly regain 40-homer power after major labrum surgery is an extraordinarily fragile bet.
The Social Media Firestorm and the Delayed Apology
If Santander’s medical and statistical trajectory pushed him onto thin ice, his actions in early November shattered it. Following the U.S. midterm elections, in which Michigan elected Muslim candidate Abdul El-Sayed to the U.S. Senate, Santander used his Instagram Stories to share a series of anti-Muslim videos. The posts included a thumbnail of El-Sayed captioned “America voted for Sharia last night,” another reading “Islam is not peaceful,” and a clip of a Christian preacher saying, “There is no such thing as kind Muslims”.
Santander deleted the videos two days later amid mounting backlash and did not publicly address the controversy until Friday, November 13, when he posted an apology on Instagram. That delay drew further scrutiny after Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins publicly urged him to speak. Speaking at the MLB General Managers Meeting in Las Vegas, Atkins stated that “there really aren’t words to express my level of disappointment” and confirmed he told Santander, “I thought he needed to and that he should” address the controversy publicly. Even more telling, Atkins framed the episode in terms that transcended roster construction: “It’s disappointing enough that I don’t need to think of it in the context of trying to build a baseball team. It’s much bigger than that.”
Initially, Toronto’s November 5 corporate statement—a brief message declaring that “Baseball is for everyone” and that “Individual comments do not represent our organization’s values and beliefs”—drew sharp criticism from local Muslim fans, community softball organizers, and crisis communications specialists as “the bare minimum”. President and CEO Mark Shapiro tried to repair that trust on November 12 by meeting with Toronto Muslim leaders and issuing an explicit apology condemning Islamophobia. Yet as Brock University sport management associate professor Mike Naraine told The Canadian Press, a front-office statement cannot substitute for accountability from the player himself: “To not say anything is to remain complicit in the behaviour.”
For Canada’s only major league franchise, this is not an abstract PR nuisance. According to 2021 Statistics Canada census data cited in Canadian press coverage of the controversy, Canada is home to more than 1.78 million Muslims, and roughly 10% of Toronto’s 2.8 million residents identify as Muslim. Fans and advocacy groups like the National Council of Canadian Muslims have naturally pointed to the 2023 precedent involving reliever Anthony Bass, whom the Blue Jays cut ties with and released two weeks after he shared an anti-LGBTQ boycott post—even though Bass issued an apology—in a move Toronto framed as a “baseball decision”. Santander’s November 13 Instagram statement finally broke his silence, but issuing an apology and demonstrating meaningful accountability are two different things. Retaining him solely because his contract is larger, without clear follow-through, would risk sending the wrong message to the Toronto community.
Anthony Santander’s November 13 Instagram Apology: Too Little, Too Late?
On Friday, November 13, Santander finally broke his silence with a statement on Instagram about the anti-Muslim videos he had shared more than a week earlier. The post came one day after Blue Jays president and CEO Mark Shapiro apologized to the Muslim community and after general manager Ross Atkins publicly urged Santander to address the controversy himself. Acknowledging the situation was necessary, but the long wait made the words carry an even heavier burden.
In the Instagram statement, Santander said he “should have been more thoughtful about what I shared” and expressed his belief that every person deserves dignity and respect. To me, the first line is precisely why the apology feels weak. Being more careful about what you share is not the same as clearly confronting the anti-Muslim messages in the videos. Fans deserve to know whether he understands why those sweeping statements were harmful, not simply that posting them caused a backlash.
An apology can be a starting point, but it should not automatically close the matter. Meaningful accountability would involve listening to the communities affected, explicitly rejecting anti-Muslim prejudice and showing through future conduct that the lesson has actually been learned. Some Blue Jays fans discussing the Instagram post called it too late and unconvincing; those are reactions, not proof of Santander’s private intentions. Still, the franchise has every reason to consider whether this delayed public response is enough to rebuild trust. For this writer, it isn’t.
Inside the $92.5 Million Ledger: Deferrals, CBT Pressure, and the 2027 Roster Crunch
To understand why the Blue Jays haven’t immediately cut Santander—and what moving him off the roster actually costs—you have to examine the heavy deferral architecture of his contract. When Toronto signed him, front-office observers praised the financial structure because $61.75 million in deferred payments drove the contract’s net present value down to roughly $68.6 million, holding his initial CBT charge around $13.72 million per year (currently calculated at $14.31 million on FanGraphs RosterResource as of November 13, 2026).
| Contract Year | Nominal Salary / Bonus | Cash Paid In-Year | Deferred Amount | Status as of Nov 2026 |
| 2025 Signing Bonus | $13.50M | $6.75M | $6.75M | Accrued ($6.75M unpaid) |
| 2025 Base Salary | $13.50M | $3.50M | $10.00M | Accrued ($10.00M unpaid) |
| 2026 Base Salary | $16.50M | $6.50M | $10.00M | Accrued ($10.00M unpaid) |
| 2027 Base Salary | $16.50M | $6.50M | $10.00M | Future guarantee |
| 2028 Base Salary (Opt-out after 2027) | $14.75M | $4.75M | $10.00M | Future guarantee |
| 2029 Base Salary | $12.75M | $2.75M | $10.00M | Future guarantee |
| 2030 Club Option ($15M) / Buyout | $5.00M (buyout) | $0.00M | $5.00M | Future buyout guaranteed |
| Total Guaranteed Deal | $92.50M | $30.75M (in-year) | $61.75M | $16.75M paid; $75.75M unpaid |
Contract figures compiled from MLB Trade Rumours, Sportsnet, Spotrac/Sportskeeda summaries, and verified ledger math. Note that media coverage cites varying “remaining” figures—ranging from $49.0 million in future 2027–2030 salary and buyout obligations up to $52.5 million or $62.5 million depending on how bonus proration or unpaid 2025–2026 deferrals are counted—while Heavy lists $19.2 million in 2027 total salary and FanGraphs RosterResource assigns $21.0 million to 2027 payroll.
Look closely at the cash-flow trap those deferrals created. Because $26.75 million of Santander’s 2025 and 2026 compensation was pushed into the future, Toronto has disbursed only $16.75 million in actual cash so far, leaving $75.75 million in total cash still unpaid ($49.0 million in future 2027–2030 salary and buyout obligations plus $26.75 million in already-accrued deferrals). That backloaded payout schedule explains why outside analysts describe an outright release as an expensive step and a steep accounting write-off for owner Rogers Communications.
Yet from a competitive baseball standpoint, Toronto’s 2027 roster crunch makes keeping Santander far more damaging than absorbing his dead money. The Blue Jays finished 2026 dead last in MLB in both runs scored (648) and home runs after losing Bo Bichette in free agency and trading Kevin Gausman, Daulton Varsho, and Jeff Hoffman at the 2026 deadline. Now George Springer’s six-year, $150 million contract has expired, and Shane Bieber, Max Scherzer, and Myles Straw have left as free agents. According to FanGraphs RosterResource estimates as of November 13, 2026, Toronto already carries $251.8 million in actual 2027 payroll and $237.1 million in CBT payroll—even as the club schedules a meeting with ace free agent Tarik Skubal and is linked to impact hitters like Seiya Suzuki, Brandon Lowe, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. Meanwhile, corner outfield and DH depth on Toronto’s current roster behind Guerrero Jr. and third baseman Kazuma Okamoto relies heavily on Nathan Lukes, Davis Schneider, Jonatan Clase, Yohendrick Piñango, Sean Keys, and Addison Barger (himself coming off right elbow surgery). With the Collective Bargaining Agreement expiring on December 1 and an MLB lockout looming, tying up a 40-man roster spot and everyday DH reps on Santander handicaps Toronto’s winter rebuild.
Weighing Every Path Off the Roster
Because no exit button cleanly erases both the contract and the CBT hit, Atkins and Shapiro must evaluate five distinct roster options, each carrying sharply different legal, financial, and competitive trade-offs.
| Exit Mechanism | Feasibility | 40-Man & Clubhouse Impact | Cash & CBT Relief | Primary Hurdles & Risks |
| Just-Cause Voiding / Discipline | Low for voiding; moderate for fine/suspension | Moderate (if suspended) or unresolved (if retained) | Unlikely to save salary unless unpaid suspension issued | Guaranteed contract protections; likely MLBPA grievance |
| Salary-Dump or Bad-Contract Trade | Low-to-Moderate | High (clears 40-man spot immediately) | Minimal unless cash/contract offset; Toronto pays bulk | Deeply negative trade value; reputational concerns despite delayed apology |
| DFA, Waivers, and Release | High | High (immediate clean break, frees 40-man spot) | Near zero (if unclaimed on waivers, Toronto absorbs remaining deal) | Absorbing $49 M in future obligations and ~14M/yr CBT dead cap |
| Negotiated Buyout / Settlement | Very Low | High (clean separation) | Modest discount at best | Guaranteed MLB deal and union rules make pay cuts rare |
| Keep for 2027 / Hope for Opt-Out | High mechanically; risky strategically | Negative (ongoing distraction, clogs DH/RF) | Zero unless he rebounds and opts out | Asymmetric opt-out risk; post-labrum regression; fan alienation |
1. Contract Termination or Discipline for “Just Cause”
Fans understandably ask whether Toronto can void Santander’s remaining guarantee on morality or conduct grounds. Under Article 8 of MLB’s Social Media Policy, players are barred from “displaying or transmitting content that constitutes harassment of an individual or group of individuals, or threatens or advocates the use of violence against an individual or group of individuals,” exposing a player “to discipline for just cause by either his club or the commissioner”.
In practice, there is a vast gulf between issuing a fine or short unpaid suspension and unilaterally wiping out $49 million in future guaranteed salary. As The Canadian Press and Nacionale News have noted, the terms of any individual morality clause in Santander’s contract have not been made public, and it remains unclear whether the Blue Jays or MLB are reviewing the posts for formal discipline. Because MLB contracts are fully guaranteed, attempting to void the deal outright over off-field social media posts would almost certainly spark an MLBPA grievance—a particularly volatile move weeks before a December 1 CBA expiration. Even so, Toronto shouldn’t skip this step: pursuing an Article 8 review with the commissioner’s office could yield a fine, mandatory community education, or an unpaid suspension that captures modest salary relief while formally documenting the findings about Santander’s conduct.
2. A Salary-Dump Trade or Distressed-Contract Swap
As FanGraphs’ RosterResource chat noted bluntly on November 12, “Santander’s contract is underwater”. No rival club will absorb a 32-year-old coming off shoulder labrum surgery, a .565 OPS, and 16.67% two-year availability at full freight. To move him via trade, Toronto would almost certainly have to pay down most of his $49.0 million in future salary and buyout commitments just to entice a rebuilding club to take a low-risk DH flyer—leaving the Blue Jays holding most of the CBT charge and receiving minimal prospect return. The alternative of attaching controllable young talent to offload more cash makes even less sense for a 79-win club that just sold veterans at the 2026 deadline and needs affordable depth. Swapping Santander for another team’s overpaid, underperforming veteran in hopes a change of scenery revives one of them is theoretically cleaner, though finding a matching albatross is notoriously difficult.
A major obstacle to any trade is that Santander’s November 13 apology may not be enough to satisfy fans and community leaders. Rival ownership groups have little incentive to invite backlash by acquiring a player amid an unresolved controversy. Until Santander follows his words with meaningful action, even a heavily subsidized salary dump could remain difficult.
3. Designate for Assignment, Waivers, and Unconditional Release
Following the Anthony Bass precedent—albeit on an exponentially larger financial scale—represents Toronto’s cleanest, most decisive route. Because the Blue Jays activated Santander from the 60-day IL on November 2, he is on the 40-man roster and eligible to be designated for assignment, placed on waivers, or released—much as Toronto regularly parted ways with roster depth via DFAs, outrights, and releases throughout 2026. Given his injury history and $49 million in future commitments, all 29 other clubs would almost certainly pass on claiming his contract, and with more than seven years of MLB service time, Santander would reject any minor-league outright assignment and elect free agency (or Toronto could grant his unconditional release directly).
Financially, cutting him hurts: Toronto absorbs the remaining guaranteed deal and carries roughly $13.72 million to $14.31 million in annual dead CBT money through 2029—similar to how the Blue Jays already carry $8.0 million in 2027 salary ($ 6.4 million in CBT AAV for Yariel Rodríguez under guaranteed players no longer on the 40-man roster. Yet the baseball logic is ironclad: the money is already spent whether Santander takes at-bats in Toronto or sits at home. Releasing him immediately opens a vital 40-man roster spot ahead of free-agent signings and winter roster protection moves, clears the DH/right-field runway for genuine two-way upgrades like Seiya Suzuki (who posted an .833 four-year OPS and 14 defensive runs saved in 2026), and ensures the clubhouse enters spring training without an active cultural wound.
4. Negotiated Contract Buyout or Mutual Separation
In theory, the Blue Jays and Santander’s representatives at Beverly Hills Sports Council could explore a negotiated buyout alongside his release, modifying the payout schedule in exchange for a modest discount. In practice, no report suggests Santander’s camp wants to forfeit guaranteed dollars, and MLB union protections severely restrict contract restructurings that reduce player compensation. The only leverage Toronto could hold to bring Santander to the table would be a credible, pending Article 8 disciplinary suspension that would threaten his paychecks anyway—and even then, a settlement is far more likely to accompany a quiet separation than deliver meaningful payroll savings.
5. The Status-Quo Gamble (Waiting Out 2027)
Some fantasy analysts still point to Santander’s low acquisition cost and potential to rebound toward his 2023 production if his shoulder finally cooperates—and note that his contract includes a player opt-out after the 2027 season. On paper, keeping him through spring training holds out faint hope that he regains his power stroke, opts out after a big year, or becomes flippable at the July 2027 deadline. (And if he clears medical benchmarks by his estimated February 2027 return window, Toronto cannot simply tuck him back onto the 60-day IL to avoid a decision.)
That gamble fails on every front. First, the 2027 opt-out is completely asymmetric: if Santander struggles or gets hurt again, Toronto owes every remaining dollar through 2029; only if he returns to All-Star form—the one outcome where Toronto would actually want his bat—does he exercise the opt-out (unless Toronto voids it by guaranteeing his $15 million 2030 option and escalating his 2028–2029 salaries to $17.25 million and $15.25 million). Second, bringing a player whose delayed apology still leaves questions about accountability into spring training forces manager John Schneider and clubhouse leaders like Guerrero Jr. to answer questions about anti-Muslim posts daily while alienating 10% of the home city’s population. Waiting doesn’t salvage the asset; it merely compounds the damage.
The Inevitable Decision
When a $92.5 million free agent appears in just 54 of 324 regular-season games, slashes .175/.271/.294 in the few innings he manages to play, loses an entire year to shoulder labrum surgery, and then compounds the failure by sharing anti-Muslim videos and issuing a delayed apology that leaves important questions unanswered, there is nothing left to rehabilitate.
Toronto should execute a disciplined, two-step exit—ideally before the CBA expires on December 1 and any potential MLB lockout freezes player transactions. First, complete any formal MLB and club review under Article 8 of the Social Media Policy to enforce clear accountability and capture any legitimate fine or suspension savings, while briefly testing whether any club would take him in a heavily subsidized trade if he follows up his apology with meaningful actions. Second, assuming no credible trade materializes, and his public response fails to rebuild trust, Ross Atkins and Mark Shapiro must secure ownership approval to eat the sunk cost, designate Anthony Santander for assignment, and release him outright. The Blue Jays have already lost two years of productivity, a draft pick, and tens of millions of dollars on this mistake. They do not have to sacrifice their 2027 roster flexibility—or their credibility with the city of Toronto—on top of it.
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